What do presidential polls say

Some conservative commentators argue that despite survey adjustments made by pollsters since , they are still ignoring factors that do not show up in their polls — which they suggest underestimate the level of support for Trump.

In , Hillary Clinton led Donald Trump in the national polls and secured more votes — but lost the election after finishing behind him in crucial swing states, handing those electoral college votes to the Republican. This content is not available in your region. Text size Aa Aa. US election: What are five big issues that Americans care about? US election: What is the electoral college and how does it work?

Related Stories. Joe Biden Approval. B- RMG Research. B Morning Consult. B- Ipsos. A Monmouth University. Generic ballot. Donald Trump Favorability. Kamala Harris Approval. Polling in showed former Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton winning in many states that she subsequently lost. Polls in Michigan in leading up to the election showed Clinton ahead between one and seven percentage points depending, for instance, but Clinton lost the state.

Clinton also led in polls in several states that eventually went to Trump including Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. Currently, in these states, Biden is leading by more percentage points than Clinton had been leading by at the same time prior to the election.

Clinton also led nationally in polling, with FiveThirtyEight predicting that she was more likely to win the election than Trump.

Trump won the electoral college but lost the popular vote, with Clinton winning nearly three million more votes nationally. This content is not available in your region.